Household Projections to 2031, England

Published	11 March 2009
Type(s)	Statistics
Site	Corporate
ISBN	9781409812852
Price	Free

Summary

The latest national statistics on household projections to 2031 for England were released under the auspices of the UK Statistics Authority on 11 March 2009.

This Statistical Release presents National Statistics on the projected number of households in England and its regions to 2031. The figures in this release are based on the 2006-based population projections and replace the 2004-based household projections released in February 2008.

The household projections are produced by applying projected household formation rates to the population projections published by the Office for National Statistics. The assumptions underlying national household and population projections are demographic trend based. They are not forecasts. They do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors might have on demographic behaviour. They provide the household levels and structures that would result if the assumptions based on previous demographic trends in the population and household formation rates were to be realised in practice.

Key points from the latest release are:

The number of households in England is projected to grow to 27.8 million in 2031, an increase of 6.3 million (29 per cent) over the 2006 estimate, or 252,000 households per year.
Population growth is the main driver of household growth, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the increase in households between 2006 and 2031.
One person households are projected to increase by 163,000 per year, equating to two-thirds of the increase in households.
By 2031, 32 per cent of households will be headed by those aged 65 or over, up from 26 per cent in 2006.
By 2031, 18 per cent of the total population of England is projected to live alone, compared with 13 per cent in 2006.
The South East region has the largest absolute increase in households of 39,000 per year from 2006 to 2031, a 28 per cent rise from the 2006 level.
The North East region shows the smallest growth in households, at 8,300 per year from 2006 to 2031, or a 19 per cent rise from the 2006 level.

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